Comparisons
 between US and:

vehicle rate

dist. rate

Background and more

information in 2004 book

Click for info on

Traffic Safety

GB

Canada

Australia

GB

Copyright 2004 by Leonard Evans

This is the calculation in Table 15-5, page 388, of Traffic Safety showing that 177,593 additional Americans died because US failed to match British safety performance (see also summary in Table 15-7, p. 388)

US versus GB traffic fatalities per thousand registered vehicles (vehicle rate)

    USA  GB      
year   traffic fatalities vehicles  (thous) fatalities per thou vehicles traffic fatalities vehicles  (thous) fatalities per thou vehicles percent change from 1979    A  B   C
1979   51,093 144,317 0.354  6,352 18,616 0.341          0.354 51,093

       

1980   51,091 146,845 0.348  6,010 19,199 0.313 

-8.3 

  0.325 47,695

3,396 

1981   49,301 149,330 0.330  5,846 19,347 0.302 

-11.4 

  0.314 46,819

2,482 

1982   43,945 151,148 0.291  5,934 19,762 0.300 

-12.0 

  0.312 47,091

-3,146 

1983   42,589 153,830 0.277  5,445 20,209 0.269 

-21.0 

  0.280 43,004

-415 

1984   44,257 158,900 0.279  5,599 20,765 0.270 

-21.0 

  0.280 44,455

-198 

1985   43,825 166,047 0.264  5,165 21,159 0.244 

-28.5 

  0.253 42,056

1,769 

1986   46,087 168,545 0.273  5,382 21,699 0.248 

-27.3 

  0.257 43,375

2,712 

1987   46,390 172,750 0.269  5,125 22,152 0.231 

-32.2 

  0.240 41,469

4,921 

1988   47,087 177,455 0.265  5,052 23,302 0.217 

-36.5 

  0.225 39,919

7,168 

1989   45,582 181,165 0.252  5,373 24,196 0.222 

-34.9 

  0.230 41,741

3,841 

1990   44,599 184,275 0.242  5,217 24,673 0.211 

-38.0 

  0.219 40,428

4,171 

1991   41,508 186,370 0.223  4,568 24,511 0.186 

-45.4 

  0.193 36,038

5,470 

1992   39,250 184,938 0.212  4,229 24,577 0.172 

-49.6 

  0.179 33,018

6,232 

1993   40,150 188,350 0.213  3,814 24,826 0.154 

-55.0 

  0.159 30,023

10,127 

1994   40,716 192,497 0.212  3,650 25,231 0.145 

-57.6 

  0.150 28,894

11,822 

1995   41,817 197,065 0.212  3,621 25,369 0.143 

-58.2 

  0.148 29,185

12,632 

1996   42,065 201,631 0.209  3,598 26,302 0.137 

-59.9 

  0.142 28,619

13,446 

1997   42,013 203,568 0.206  3,599 26,974 0.133 

-60.9 

  0.138 28,182

13,831 

1998   41,501 208,076 0.199  3,421 27,538 0.124 

-63.6 

  0.129 26,820

14,681 

1999   41,717 212,685 0.196  3,423 28,368 0.121 

-64.6 

  0.125 26,628

15,089 

2000   41,945 217,028 0.193  3,409 28,898 0.118 

-65.4 

  0.122 26,564

15,381 

2001   42,196 221,230 0.191  3,450 29,747 0.116 

-66.0 

  0.120 26,622

15,574 

2002   42,815 224,974 0.190  3,431 30,557 0.112 

-67.1 

  0.117 26,210

16,605 

*

        total number of fewer US fatalities if US rate had declined in step with British rate

177,593 

A: what US rate would have been if it had declined by same percent as British rate

B: what US fatalities would have been for US vehicle fleet if vehicle rate had been as in column A

C: the number of US fatalities prevented if US rate had declined in step with British rate

* If US rate changes had matched those in GB, 16,605 fewer Americans would have been killed in 2002.

   In 2002, US fatalities would have been 26,210 rather than the observed 42,815.